Am I paying too little for stuff?

WSJ writes…..
Selling something for less than its sticker price is hardly new. But the tech industry has gone to new heights. You might get an ad-supported music subscription that still gives you the world’s music, a 100-night mattress trial or $50 for referring a friend to MealPal.
To grow, companies need to stand out in some way, said Robert Dolan, a professor at Harvard Business School. “There’s so much emphasis on growing their userbase,” all other considerations fade away.

Tech companies are finding ways to sell just about anything at crazy-low prices.


If a product becomes indispensable, its creator can sometimes raise prices without losing customers. That’s why the prices of Amazon Prime and Netflix have risen lately: They’re betting that because I love two-day shipping and “Stranger Things,” I won’t cancel. (They’re right.)
Larger companies can also afford to make little or no money on some products, betting they will make it up elsewhere.
For smaller fries without a lot of money to lose, this is harder calculus. “Companies are very reluctant to raise their prices, especially in an era where everything you do automatically gets a reaction from the crowds on social media,” said Prof. Dolan. Spotify could become profitable by raising its prices, for example, but “the backlash would be huge.”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/am-i-paying-too-little-for-stuff-1535979601?mod=djemDailyShot&mod=djemDailyShot

India. The Biggest Risk In Emerging Markets?

Daniel Lacelle writes a very concerning piece on Indian economy which goes against the popular understanding of the fastest growing economy in the world.

He writes….India’s rising populist policies are part of the nation’s current problems.
Recent data is quite concerning.
August Nikkei Services PMI came at 51.5 vs 54.2 in the previous month, a 5% monthly drop.
Sovereign bond yields are at the highest level since 2014.
Industrial production and growth estimates are coming down (via Focus Economics).

Read Full article below

https://www.dlacalle.com/en/india-the-biggest-risk-in-emerging-markets/

 

The ONE Thing…China’s slowdown and the rough road ahead for EM

Alex writes….I think this is one of the more interesting charts in markets right now. It’s a monthly of the MSCI Emerging Market Index (EEM). The chart shows EEM breaking out to the upside of a 10-year wedge last year before reversing back down and testing the upper line of support. It’s down approximately 12% on the year.

https://macro-ops.com/one-thing-chinas-slowdown-rough-road-ahead-em/

Adding to strain of falling rupee: sharp spike in imports of coal, ores

The increase in coal shipments comes alongside a 44 per cent jump in the value of precious and semi-precious stones imports, and a 47 per cent jump in imports of metal and mineral ores.

https://indianexpress.com/article/business/adding-to-strain-of-falling-rupee-sharp-spike-in-imports-of-coal-ores-indian-economy-gdp-5340228/

Paradox of the Bell curve

Everytime there is currency volatility , central banks raise the interest rates to support the local currency and make interest rates attractive enough for foreign money to flow in and take advantage of the higher interest rates.So if Argentina raised the rates to 60% last week or Turkey raises the rates, it should support Argentina Peso or Turkish lira right?The chart below introduces a new angle to this equation which most central Bankers refuses to acknowledge.

The strength or weakness of any currency does not depend on higher interest rates beyond a level. It is actually the confidence in the economy and the currency . There is a very thin line where this confidence is lost and money just flees inspite of raising rates  and in my view the confidence is actually a function of political stability ,free and transparent institutions.

Record Foreign Direct Investment Into India Not Boosting Manufacturing

Indiaspend writes…An important aspect of India’s FDI flows is the substantial amount of repatriations/disinvestments (funds that foreign firms earn in India through sale of goods and services or shares that can be sent back to their country of origin).

The ratio of disinvestment/repatriation to FDI inflows, which was 30% during 2010-11, increased to nearly 36% in 2016-17. The estimate for 2017-18 (up to January) is nearly 47%.

These figures of rising disinvestments are in addition to outward remittances by way of dividends paid by foreign companies from their Indian units to parent units abroad and payments made by Indian companies for technology and other services.

http://www.indiaspend.com/cover-story/record-foreign-direct-investment-into-india-not-boosting-manufacturing-56590

Is your Boring job worth your time?

I would say not…… but you have to pay bills and mortgage but as David grueber writes…..The more your work benefits other people, the less they’re likely to pay you. The more useless the job, the more you can expect to earn.And as for middle management? He calls these task-masters who are “to give people work that isn’t necessary, or to supervise people who don’t need supervision”.
He stresses that people are not inherently lazy saying that we work not just to pay the bills, but because we want to contribute something meaningful to society.
But the psychological effect of spending our working life on tasks we secretly believe don’t need to be performed is profoundly damaging, “a scar across our collective soul”.

https://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace/is-your-boring-job-worth-your-time-20180825-p4zzp3.html