When is a trade war not a trade war? The Cold War “on the other side of the hill”

Russell Napier writes in Solid ground….

On October 8th 2018 The Solid Ground commented upon Vice-President Mike Pence’s October 5th speech on US China relations – Desolation Row: Which Side Are You On?
While a bit of sabre rattling ahead of mid-term elections is to be expected, this speech, in the opinion of your analyst, changes the world. It changes not just the world of finance and money but, very probably the world of geopolitics…… In the context of this speech trade sanctions are a lever for change in many areas well beyond the issues of trade themselves. It is incredibly difficult to see how the Chinese Communist Party genuflects, or perhaps kowtows, to such major and wide-ranging criticisms of their behavior. To bend to the will of the US administration on these multiple issues is to back away from the political control that is at the heart of the Chinese Communist Party and Xi’s Presidency. For all of us as citizens this raises the prospects of a much more confrontational relationship between Washington DC and Beijing, and for investors it means a whole new monetary order must now be developed. The development of that new monetary order will be as important for investors as the breakdown of the Bretton-Woods agreement was for their predecessors.

Russell further writes

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